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Digital Subscriptions > The Hedge Fund Journal > Issue 136 – Nov 2018 > China & Brazil

China & Brazil

Currencies on diverging paths?

While the US-Mexico-Canada trade war has been settled with the renaming of NAFTA to USMCA, the US-China trade war appears to be entering a worsening phase. At the same time, the Presidential elections in Brazil provided an important change of leadership that may lead to political and financial reforms. And, Brazil is a beneficiary of China redirecting purchases of soybeans and other products away from the US.

The net result suggests that the Brazilian Real may gain ground against the US dollar in the coming months while the Chinese Yuan may challenge resistance levels and remain on a weakening path.

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