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Digital Subscriptions > Prospect Magazine > April 2016 > What are the chances of a Frexit?

What are the chances of a Frexit?

There is rising frustration with the EU, but the French remain believers–so far

Ever since the results of the last European Parliament elections in 2014, when Marine Le Pen began referring to her far-right party as “the first party of France,” the political establishment has been working its way through the seven stages of grief. The morning after the elections, prominent French author Jean-Marie Rouart expressed his shock in Paris Match and his disbelief in the fact that over 4.7m French people had cast their votes in favour of the Front National: “We’re suddenly seized by the sense of irreversibility, of the irreparable, some would say...” Today, most mainstream politicians and commentators seem arrested in the Denial phase, with Anger, Bargaining, Guilt and Depression still barring their way to Acceptance and Hope.

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About Prospect Magazine

In Prospect’s April issue: Sam Tanenhaus profiles Donald Trump, the leading candidate for the Republican Party Presidential nomination and asks if Trump makes it to the Oval Office, what would he do? Stephen Glover, examines what is happening at the Guardian as the newspaper looks to cut costs. Ferdinand Mount says Tony Blair transformed Britain but he should have cared more about the Labour Party. Also in this issue: Richard Dearlove, the former head of MI5, says that Brexit would not damage the UK’s security and Christopher de Bellaigue questions whether France’s clampdown on radicals is having the right effect. Plus Miranda France looks at the legacy of Don Quixote and the Duel asks: “Should the Church of England be disestablished”?
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